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2024-12-14 10:02:52

Kaitou Macro: There is no end in sight for the industrial difficulties in the euro zone. Jack Allen-Reynolds, a macro economist at Kaitou, said in a report that the stagnation of industrial production in the euro zone in October shows that its industrial sector is still weak and will continue to struggle. In fact, he said, without Ireland's data, the G-20' s constant production data would look much worse, or it would drop by 0.5% month-on-month, while Ireland's data is notoriously unstable. Allen-Reynolds said that the output in October excluding Ireland decreased by 2.8% compared with the same period of last year, which was 18% lower than the output level of energy-intensive industries before the outbreak of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine. He said that automobile production is 17% lower than the pre-epidemic level. Although the production performance of other industries is not so bad, the latest survey shows that the overall industrial production continues to decline.Spot silver fell by 2.0% in the day to $30.33 per ounce. New york Silver fell 2.5% in the day to $30.83 per ounce.Countering the price limit of Western countries, Putin extended the oil supply ban. On the 13th, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a presidential decree, announcing the extension of the counter-measures to set price ceilings for Russian oil and oil products until June 30, 2025. Putin signed a presidential decree on December 27, 2022, demanding that the supply of Russian petroleum and petroleum products to foreign legal persons and individuals who directly or indirectly use the price ceiling mechanism in their contracts be prohibited. This presidential decree came into effect on February 1, 2023, and its validity period was extended several times. In early December, 2022, EU member states reached an agreement on setting a price ceiling of $60 per barrel for Russian seaborne oil exports. The Group of Seven and Australia announced that they would implement the same price limit policy as the EU. (Xinhua News Agency)


Broadcom is developing customized AI chips with three large cloud customers. Broadcom's share price rose by more than 20% at the beginning, and its total market value rose to 1.02 trillion US dollars, ranking ninth in the US stock market. After the close of the US Eastern Time on Thursday, Broadcom announced a better-than-expected fourth-quarter financial report. Not only did the profit performance be better than expected, but Broadcom's artificial intelligence revenue more than tripled this year. Broadcom's AI revenue increased by 220% to US$ 12.2 billion this year. It is estimated that the revenue of AI products will increase by 65% in the first fiscal quarter of fiscal year 2025. The CEO of Broadcom revealed that he is developing customized AI chips with three large cloud customers. It is estimated that each customer will deploy 1 million AI chips in 2027.Tigress Financial raised Wal-Mart's target price from $86.00 to $115.00.ECB officials are expected to cut interest rates further. Villeroy supports the market view, and several ECB officials said that more interest rate cuts are coming. Francois Villeroy de Galhau, governor of the French central bank, said that investors' bets on a cumulative interest rate cut of more than 100 basis points seemed reasonable. "There will be more interest rate cuts next year, and many times," he said on Friday. "Although the central bank did not promise the specific interest rate trajectory in advance, it seems to be quite reassuring to predict the financial market". The interest rate swap market reflects a rate cut of about 120 basis points by the end of next year. According to informed sources, the European Central Bank plans to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in January next year, and may also cut interest rates once in March.


Spot palladium fell more than 2.00% in the day and is now reported at $957.09 per ounce.Yonghui Supermarket actively responded to the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference and vigorously developed quality retail. Private enterprises actively responded to the spirit of the 2024 Central Economic Work Conference. Yonghui Supermarket said that the meeting gave enterprises a shot in the arm. Yonghui Supermarket helped and learned from the model of "Fat East", and started the store restructuring in many cities across the country, improving the quality of consumption and stimulating the vitality of consumption. The market also gave positive feedback, and the stores were significantly improved in terms of word of mouth, passenger flow, sales volume and employee status. There is a strong demand for high-quality goods and services in the market, and Yonghui Supermarket actively adapts and hands over the answer sheet of "Quality and Happiness" to consumers. Yonghui Supermarket will continue to adjust and reform, vigorously develop quality retail and serve the overall economic situation.Increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies. A series of reform measures will be introduced next year. From the national development and reform work conference held by the National Development and Reform Commission, we learned that in order to fully implement the spirit of the Central Economic Work Conference, we will increase the countercyclical adjustment of macro policies next year, and solidly promote economic stability, structural improvement and development trend. The relevant person in charge of the National Development and Reform Commission said that a more active and promising macro policy will be implemented next year to enhance the consistency of macro policy orientation.

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